Dalio-Style Induction and Munger-Style Deduction

Complementary strategies for achieving outsized success.

A Model of Professionalism from "Seven Samurai"

A skilled swordsman doesn't worry about self-promotion.

Timekeeping on Mars with R

How to implement NASA's Mars24 Sunclock Algorithm in R for Earth-to-Mars time conversions.

Bayes' Theorem and Intelligence Analysis at the CIA

How Bayes' theorem could be used to study and predict geopolitical events, based on declassified reports from the Central Intelligence Agency.